Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sioux Falls, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday


	Andrew Fenty		Keegan Smith

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.97	1.74
	2.04	1.8
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.97	1.77	Watch
	1.73	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.73)	1.82 ↓ (2)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrew Fenty
48.5%

Keegan Smith
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrew Fenty has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrew Fenty's form might have worsened.

Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Keegan Smith's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrew Fenty than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (-5%)

Andrew Fenty - Keegan Smith Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fenty is ranked ATP: 470. Smith is ranked ATP: 528.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Smith may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fenty won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrew Fenty
ATP Challenger
20.10.25	Andrew Fenty - Adhithya Ganesan	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Andrew Fenty - Jacob Brumm	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Andrew Fenty - Andres Martin	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Andrew Fenty - Karl Poling	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Andrew Fenty - Noah Schachter	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLWW
- Keegan Smith
ATP Challenger
20.10.25	Aryan Shah - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Joshua Sheehy - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
16.10.25	Brandon Holt - Keegan Smith	2:1 ✺
14.10.25	Keegan Smith - Jeri Lassila	2:0 ✺
13.10.25	Aidan McHugh - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
06.06.25	Keegan Smith - Andrew Fenty	0:2

Andrew Fenty - Keegan Smith: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide