Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sioux Falls - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 20 October 2025, Monday


	Aryan Shah		Keegan Smith

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.02	1.78
	1.99	1.70	Watch
	2.07	1.7	Watch
	1.87	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.87)	1.76 ↓ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aryan Shah
47%

Keegan Smith
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aryan Shah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aryan Shah than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Aryan Shah - Keegan Smith Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Shah will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Smith will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Shah (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Smith (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shah is ranked ATP: 391. Smith is ranked ATP: 558.

Shah has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Smith is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Smith may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Keegan Smith - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aryan Shah
ATP Challenger
19.10.25	Aryan Shah - Ozan Baris	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Brandon Holt - Aryan Shah	Shah A. retired ✺
07.10.25	Aryan Shah - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	1:2 ✺
15.09.25	Trey Hilderbrand - Aryan Shah	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Leo Raquillet - Aryan Shah	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 W?LLW
- Keegan Smith
ATP Challenger
19.10.25	Joshua Sheehy - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
16.10.25	Brandon Holt - Keegan Smith	2:1 ✺
14.10.25	Keegan Smith - Jeri Lassila	2:0 ✺
13.10.25	Aidan McHugh - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Joan Torres Espinosa - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWWW

Aryan Shah - Keegan Smith: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide