Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Como (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 August 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Concas R. (Ita)


	Andrew Paulson		Stefano Napolitano

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.48	1.48	Watch
	2.56	1.53
	2.59	1.46	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.48	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.47)	1.48 ↓ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrew Paulson
36.9%

Stefano Napolitano
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

61.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrew Paulson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Stefano Napolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrew Paulson than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Andrew Paulson - Stefano Napolitano Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Paulson will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Napolitano will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Paulson is ranked ATP: 361. Napolitano is ranked ATP: 136.

Paulson is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Napolitano is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Napolitano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Napolitano will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrew Paulson
ATP Challenger
10.08.24	Andrew Paulson - Vilius Gaubas	Paulson A. retired ✺
09.08.24	Andrea Collarini - Andrew Paulson	1:2 ✺
07.08.24	Andrew Paulson - Ergi Kirkin	2:1 ✺
06.08.24	Filip Jeff Planinsek - Andrew Paulson	1:2 ✺
03.08.24	Andrew Paulson - Elmer Moeller	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 ?WWWL
- Stefano Napolitano
ATP US Open
21.08.24	Stefano Napolitano - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
20.08.24	Yannick Hanfmann - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.07.24	Stefano Napolitano - Jan Choinski	Canceled ✺
ATP Gstaad
16.07.24	Gustavo Heide - Stefano Napolitano	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
26.06.24	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Stefano Napolitano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LW?LL

Andrew Paulson - Stefano Napolitano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide