Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 3, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Santa Margherita di Pula 3 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Gabriele Pennaforti		Andrey Chepelev

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Gabriele Pennaforti
65.8%

Andrey Chepelev
34.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriele Pennaforti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Andrey Chepelev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriele Pennaforti than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Pennaforti is ranked ATP: 389. Chepelev is ranked ATP: 636.

Pennaforti is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chepelev is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pennaforti could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Pennaforti is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Chepelev to win the game is with odds 2.82.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pennaforti won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriele Pennaforti
ITF Tournaments
14.04.25	Gabriele Pennaforti - Marcello Serafini	2:0 ✺
07.04.25	Giovanni Oradini - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.03.25	Milos Karol - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
19.03.25	Daniel Rincon - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
18.03.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL
- Andrey Chepelev
ITF Tournaments
14.04.25	Andrey Chepelev - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
23.03.25	Andrey Chepelev - Svyatoslav Gulin	0:2 ✺
22.03.25	Andrey Chepelev - Thomas Faurel	2:1 ✺
20.03.25	Andrea Picchione - Andrey Chepelev	1:2 ✺
19.03.25	Simeon Stankovic - Andrey Chepelev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLWWW

ITF Tournaments
13.02.25	Andrey Chepelev - Gabriele Pennaforti	0:2

Gabriele Pennaforti - Andrey Chepelev