Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 3, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday


	Andrey Chepelev		Lorenzo Rottoli

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.68
	1.43	2.58	Watch
	1.5	2.38
	1.46	2.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 (1.47)	2.54 ↑ (2.42)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrey Chepelev
63.4%

Lorenzo Rottoli
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrey Chepelev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Lorenzo Rottoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Rottoli than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Andrey Chepelev - Lorenzo Rottoli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Chepelev is ranked ATP: 431. Rottoli is ranked ATP: 804.

Chepelev is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rottoli has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rottoli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Chepelev could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrey Chepelev
ITF Tournaments
14.04.26	Andrey Chepelev - Giovanni Oradini	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Andrey Chepelev - Max Schoenhaus	0:2 ✺
09.04.26	Lorenzo Carboni - Andrey Chepelev	1:2 ✺
08.04.26	Felix Balshaw - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Alex Lapsansky - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWWW
- Lorenzo Rottoli
ITF Tournaments
14.04.26	Gabrielius Guzauskas - Lorenzo Rottoli	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.03.26	Michele Ribecai - Lorenzo Rottoli	2:0 ✺
23.03.26	Hynek Barton - Lorenzo Rottoli	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Lorenzo Rottoli - Luca Potenza	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.03.26	Lorenzo Rottoli - Francesco Forti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLWL

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