Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 2, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday


	Andrey Chepelev		Max Schoenhaus

	1	2
			Watch
	3.09	1.38
	3.09	1.31	Watch
	2.63	1.4
	3.09	1.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.7)	1.35 ↓ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrey Chepelev
31.3%

Max Schoenhaus
68.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

64.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrey Chepelev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Max Schoenhaus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Schoenhaus than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Andrey Chepelev - Max Schoenhaus Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Chepelev will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Schoenhaus will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Chepelev is ranked ATP: 430. Schoenhaus is ranked ATP: 524.

Chepelev has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Schoenhaus is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Chepelev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Schoenhaus might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Schoenhaus will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Andrey Chepelev - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 33.99%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrey Chepelev
ITF Tournaments
09.04.26	Lorenzo Carboni - Andrey Chepelev	1:2 ✺
08.04.26	Felix Balshaw - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Alex Lapsansky - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
31.03.26	Alberto Bronzetti - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.03.26	Francesco Forti - Andrey Chepelev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWLL
- Max Schoenhaus
ITF Tournaments
09.04.26	Max Houkes - Max Schoenhaus	1:2 ✺
08.04.26	Max Schoenhaus - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Niels McDonald - Max Schoenhaus	0:2 ✺
02.04.26	Alex Marti Pujolras - Max Schoenhaus	2:1 ✺
01.04.26	Max Schoenhaus - Mathys Erhard	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWLW

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