Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 2, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday


	Felix Balshaw		Andrey Chepelev

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.27
	1.65	2.08	Watch
	1.7	2
	1.62	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.83)	2.13 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felix Balshaw
56.2%

Andrey Chepelev
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felix Balshaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Felix Balshaw's performance.

Andrey Chepelev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrey Chepelev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Balshaw than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Felix Balshaw that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrey Chepelev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Felix Balshaw - Andrey Chepelev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Balshaw is ranked ATP: 601. Chepelev is ranked ATP: 430.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Balshaw may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Balshaw won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felix Balshaw
ITF Tournaments
07.04.26	Pietro Romeo Scomparin - Felix Balshaw	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.03.26	Ilya Ivashka - Felix Balshaw	Canceled ✺
02.03.26	Felix Balshaw - Tsung-Hao Huang	2:0 ✺
16.02.26	Kimmer Coppejans - Felix Balshaw	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Felix Balshaw - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 W?WLW
- Andrey Chepelev
ITF Tournaments
07.04.26	Alex Lapsansky - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
31.03.26	Alberto Bronzetti - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.03.26	Francesco Forti - Andrey Chepelev	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.03.26	Peter Buldorini - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Gabriele Maria Noce - Andrey Chepelev	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 WLLL?

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