Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Basel (Switzerland), hard (indoor) - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 October 2024, Friday


	Andrey Rublev		Ben Shelton

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.1
	1.69	2.13	Watch
	1.76	2.17
	1.72	2.23	Watch
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.13	Watch
	1.69	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.71)	2.14 ↑ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrey Rublev
55.4%

Ben Shelton
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrey Rublev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Ben Shelton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	0%	6.7%

Andrey Rublev - Ben Shelton Predictions

Users Predictions: Andrey Rublev will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rublev is ranked ATP: 7. Shelton is ranked ATP: 23.

Recent matches Rublev is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shelton is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rublev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrey Rublev
ATP Basel
23.10.24	Andrey Rublev - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
21.10.24	Andrey Rublev - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
ATP Stockholm
18.10.24	Andrey Rublev - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
17.10.24	Andrey Rublev - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
05.10.24	Andrey Rublev - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLWL
- Ben Shelton
ATP Basel
24.10.24	Stanislas Wawrinka - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
22.10.24	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
09.10.24	Jannik Sinner - Ben Shelton	2:0 ✺
08.10.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
04.10.24	Denis Shapovalov - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLWW

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