Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 August 2026, Tuesday


	Andrey Rublev		Nuno Borges

	1	2
	1.53	2.50	Watch
	1.45	2.70
	1.53	2.50	Watch
	1.57	2.71
	1.6	2.33	Watch
	1.51	2.65
	1.50	2.65	Watch
	1.53	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.49)	2.57 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 0.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrey Rublev
62.8%

Nuno Borges
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrey Rublev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Nuno Borges has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Andrey Rublev - Nuno Borges Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rublev is ranked ATP: 18. Borges is ranked ATP: 47.

Rublev has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Borges is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Borges may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rublev is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rublev won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:1. (average 2.2:0.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Andrey Rublev - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 63.39%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrey Rublev
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.26	Andrey Rublev - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
04.08.26	Juncheng Shang - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
ATP Estoril
24.07.26	Andrey Rublev - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
23.07.26	Andrey Rublev - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
ATP Bastad
19.07.26	Andrey Rublev - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLWW
- Nuno Borges
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.26	Nuno Borges - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
14.08.26	Nuno Borges - Thanasi Kokkinakis	2:1 ✺
ATP Montreal
08.08.26	Nuno Borges - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
06.08.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
05.08.26	Nuno Borges - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
29.05.26	Nuno Borges - Andrey Rublev	0:3
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.26	Andrey Rublev - Nuno Borges	2:1
ATP Hong Kong
09.01.26	Andrey Rublev - Nuno Borges	2:0
ATP Doha
19.02.25	Andrey Rublev - Nuno Borges	2:0
ATP Basel
21.10.24	Andrey Rublev - Nuno Borges	2:0

Andrey Rublev - Nuno Borges: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide