Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: HONG KONG (HONG KONG), HARD - FINAL

Date: 7 January 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	Eurosport 2
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Prima Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Andrey Rublev		Emil Ruusuvuori

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.28	3.75	Watch
	1.3	3.6
	1.32	3.65
	1.32	3.65
	1.29	3.6	Watch
	1.29	3.66	Watch
	1.28	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.34)	3.7 ↑ (3.24)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrey Rublev
74.1%

Emil Ruusuvuori
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.8%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrey Rublev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Emil Ruusuvuori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emil Ruusuvuori than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Andrey Rublev - Emil Ruusuvuori Predictions

Users Predictions: Andrey Rublev will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rublev in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ruusuvuori is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rublev could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rublev is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Rublev won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrey Rublev
ATP Hong Kong
06.01.24	Andrey Rublev - Juncheng Shang	2:1 ✺
05.01.24	Andrey Rublev - Arthur Fils	2:1 ✺
04.01.24	Andrey Rublev - Liam Broady	2:0 ✺
Exhibition World Tennis League
24.12.23	Andrey Rublev - Grigor Dimitrov	0:0 ✺
21.12.23	Grigor Dimitrov - Andrey Rublev	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWTW
- Emil Ruusuvuori
ATP Hong Kong
06.01.24	Sebastian Ofner - Emil Ruusuvuori	1:2 ✺
05.01.24	Pavel Kotov - Emil Ruusuvuori	0:2 ✺
03.01.24	Emil Ruusuvuori - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
01.01.24	Emil Ruusuvuori - Benjamin Bonzi	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
24.11.23	Emil Ruusuvuori - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
29.08.23	Emil Ruusuvuori - Andrey Rublev	Canceled
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.23	Emil Ruusuvuori - Andrey Rublev	2:1
ATP Australian Open
18.01.23	Andrey Rublev - Emil Ruusuvuori	3:1
ATP Dubai
16.03.21	Emil Ruusuvuori - Andrey Rublev	0:2

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