Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona, clay - Final

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Colombia	ESPN 2
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	Eurosport 2
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 4
Sweden	TV4 Play
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Andrey Rublev		Arthur Fils

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.85	1.4	Watch
	3.11	1.43
	2.99	1.41	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	2.86	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.63)	1.41 ↓ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrey Rublev
32.4%

Arthur Fils
67.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

66%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrey Rublev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Arthur Fils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36%	0%	64%

Andrey Rublev - Arthur Fils Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Rublev will win (votes: 8 - 34.8%). Fils will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fils: 45.7% – 84.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Rublev (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arthur Fils will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Rublev (votes: 2 - 40%). Fils (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rublev is ranked ATP: 15. Fils is ranked ATP: 30.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Rublev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fils might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Fils will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rublev won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrey Rublev
ATP Barcelona
18.04.26	Andrey Rublev - Hamad Medjedovic	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Tomas Machac - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
16.04.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	Mariano Navone - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.26	Andrey Rublev - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWL
- Arthur Fils
ATP Barcelona
18.04.26	Rafael Jodar - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Arthur Fils - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
16.04.26	Arthur Fils - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Arthur Fils - Terence Atmane	2:1 ✺
13.04.26	Brandon Nakashima - Arthur Fils	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
31.05.25	Andrey Rublev - Arthur Fils	Rublev A. walkover
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.25	Andrey Rublev - Arthur Fils	0:2
ATP Hong Kong
05.01.24	Andrey Rublev - Arthur Fils	2:1

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