Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: INDIAN WELLS (USA), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 14 March 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Hungary	Match 4
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 1
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Tommy Paul		Casper Ruud

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.72	Watch
	2.15	1.7	Watch
	2.21	1.72
	2.22	1.73
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.12	1.73	Watch
	2.2	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.19)	1.71 ↑ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommy Paul
43.9%

Casper Ruud
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Casper Ruud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Tommy Paul - Casper Ruud Predictions

Users Predictions: Tommy Paul will win (27 of 33 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.66% – 94.98%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Paul is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ruud is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ruud could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Ruud to win the game is with odds 1.72.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paul won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Indian Wells
13.03.24	Luca Nardi - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
11.03.24	Tommy Paul - Ugo Humbert	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Tommy Paul - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
26.02.24	Jack Draper - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
19.02.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWLL
- Casper Ruud
ATP Indian Wells
13.03.24	Casper Ruud - Gael Monfils	2:1 ✺
11.03.24	Casper Ruud - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Casper Ruud - Lukas Klein	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
02.03.24	Alex De Minaur - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
01.03.24	Casper Ruud - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Laver Cup
23.09.23	Casper Ruud - Tommy Paul	2:0
ATP US Open
02.09.22	Tommy Paul - Casper Ruud	2:3
ATP Australian Open
10.02.21	Casper Ruud - Tommy Paul	3:1
ATP Roland Garros
30.09.20	Casper Ruud - Tommy Paul	3:2
ATP Washington
31.07.17	Tommy Paul - Casper Ruud	Ruud C. retired

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