Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: PARIS (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 30 October 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Brazil	ESPN 3
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1, Max Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Andy Murray		Alex De Minaur

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3.2	1.35	Watch
	3.29	1.38
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	3.15	1.36	Watch
	3.1	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.97)	1.38 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andy Murray
30.9%

Alex De Minaur
69.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

68%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

69.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andy Murray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andy Murray than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	0%	88.2%

Andy Murray - Alex De Minaur Predictions

Users Predictions: Alex De Minaur will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Murray won 0.

Murray is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches De Minaur is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Murray could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match De Minaur is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Murray won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andy Murray
ATP Basel
25.10.23	Andy Murray - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1:2 ✺
23.10.23	Andy Murray - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
04.10.23	Roman Safiullin - Andy Murray	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
28.09.23	Alex De Minaur - Andy Murray	2:1 ✺
ATP Zhuhai
23.09.23	Andy Murray - Aslan Karatsev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL
- Alex De Minaur
ATP Basel
26.10.23	Alex De Minaur - Tallon Griekspoor	0:2 ✺
24.10.23	Alex De Minaur - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
20.10.23	Alex De Minaur - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
19.10.23	Alex De Minaur - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	2:0 ✺
16.10.23	Alex De Minaur - Jack Draper	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Beijing
28.09.23	Alex De Minaur - Andy Murray	2:1
ATP London
20.06.23	Alex De Minaur - Andy Murray	2:0
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.23	Alex De Minaur - Andy Murray	2:0
ATP Laver Cup
23.09.22	Andy Murray - Alex De Minaur	1:2
ATP Zhuhai
26.09.19	Alex De Minaur - Andy Murray	2:1
ATP Washington
03.08.18	Alex De Minaur - Andy Murray	De Minaur A. walkover

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