Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: London (United Kingdom), grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 June 2024, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 5, SportKlub 6, SportKlub 7, SportKlub 8, SportKlub 9
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	Eurosport 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport Docu
Poland	Polsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Prima Sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 4


	Andy Murray		Alexei Popyrin

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.9	1.87
	1.96	1.78	Watch
	2.04	1.85
	2.04	1.85
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.03	1.79	Watch
	1.98	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.23)	1.82 ↑ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andy Murray
47.7%

Alexei Popyrin
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andy Murray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andy Murray's performance.

Alexei Popyrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexei Popyrin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andy Murray than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andy Murray that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexei Popyrin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	0%	64.7%

Andy Murray - Alexei Popyrin Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Murray will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Popyrin will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Popyrin: 42% – 87.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Murray has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Popyrin is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Popyrin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andy Murray
ATP Stuttgart
11.06.24	Marcos Giron - Andy Murray	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.24	Stanislas Wawrinka - Andy Murray	3:0 ✺
ATP Geneva
21.05.24	Yannick Hanfmann - Andy Murray	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.05.24	Gregoire Barrere - Andy Murray	2:0 ✺
15.05.24	Kyrian Jacquet - Andy Murray	Jacquet K. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.8 LLLL?
- Alexei Popyrin
ATP London
16.06.24	Alexei Popyrin - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
16.06.24	Alexei Popyrin - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
13.06.24	Alexei Popyrin - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
11.06.24	Alexei Popyrin - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.24	Alexei Popyrin - Thanasi Kokkinakis	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWL

Andy Murray - Alexei Popyrin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide