Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
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Usa	Max


	Alexei Popyrin		Tommy Paul

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.4	1.55
	2.35	1.6	Watch
	2.42	1.63
	2.22	1.66	Watch
	2.3	1.62
	2.58	1.52	Watch
	2.35	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.3)	1.59 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexei Popyrin
40.2%

Tommy Paul
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexei Popyrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.4%	0%	67.6%

Alexei Popyrin - Tommy Paul Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Popyrin will win (votes: 11 - 32.4%). Paul will win (votes: 23 - 67.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paul: 51.9% – 83.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Popyrin (votes: 7 - 70%). Paul (votes: 3 - 30%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Popyrin (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Popyrin (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Paul (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Popyrin is ranked ATP: 25. Paul is ranked ATP: 12.

Recent performances by Popyrin have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Paul is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Popyrin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Paul is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Paul will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Popyrin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.25	Nuno Borges - Alexei Popyrin	0:3 ✺
28.05.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Alexei Popyrin	0:3 ✺
26.05.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Alexei Popyrin	Nishioka Y. retired ✺
ATP Geneva
22.05.25	Alexei Popyrin - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
21.05.25	Alexei Popyrin - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WW?LW
- Tommy Paul
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.25	Karen Khachanov - Tommy Paul	2:3 ✺
28.05.25	Marton Fucsovics - Tommy Paul	2:3 ✺
25.05.25	Elmer Moller - Tommy Paul	1:3 ✺
ATP Roma
16.05.25	Jannik Sinner - Tommy Paul	2:1 ✺
15.05.25	Hubert Hurkacz - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hertogenbosch
13.06.24	Alexei Popyrin - Tommy Paul	1:2
ATP Paris
31.10.21	Tommy Paul - Alexei Popyrin	2:1
ATP Melbourne Murray River Open
02.02.21	Tommy Paul - Alexei Popyrin	0:2
ATP Montreal
03.08.19	Tommy Paul - Alexei Popyrin	2:1

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