Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday


	Anton Matusevich		Andrea Guerrieri

	1	2
	2.10	1.67	Watch
	2.05	1.70
	2.15	1.67	Watch
	2.03	1.72	Watch
	2.03	1.80
	2.05	1.67	Watch
	2.10	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.29)	1.7 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anton Matusevich
45%

Andrea Guerrieri
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anton Matusevich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Andrea Guerrieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anton Matusevich than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Guerrieri than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Anton Matusevich - Andrea Guerrieri Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Matusevich will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Guerrieri will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Matusevich is ranked ATP: 313., and Guerrieri is ranked ATP: 164..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Matusevich may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Guerrieri holding a narrow advantage.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Anton Matusevich - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.34%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anton Matusevich
ATP Challenger
28.09.26	Anton Matusevich - Robin Bertrand	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Anton Matusevich - Tiago Cacao	2:1 ✺
17.09.26	Anton Matusevich - Tristan Schoolkate	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	Mickael Kaouk - Anton Matusevich	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Anton Matusevich - Michele Ribecai	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWL
- Andrea Guerrieri
ATP Challenger
24.09.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Jesper De Jong	1:2 ✺
21.09.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Francesco Maestrelli	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
02.09.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Alex De Minaur	0:3 ✺
27.08.26	Aziz Dougaz - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Joel Schwaerzler	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLWW

Anton Matusevich - Andrea Guerrieri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide