Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Andrea Guerrieri		Joel Schwaerzler

	1	2
	2.2	1.62
	2.20	1.62
	2.31	1.58
	2.25	1.67
	2.25	1.65	Watch
	2.18	1.67
	2.25	1.65	Watch
	2.3	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.02)	1.63 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Andrea Guerrieri
42%

Joel Schwaerzler
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Guerrieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Joel Schwaerzler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Guerrieri than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrea Guerrieri, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joel Schwaerzler, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Andrea Guerrieri - Joel Schwaerzler Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Guerrieri will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Schwaerzler will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guerrieri (votes: 1 - 50%). Schwaerzler (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Guerrieri is ranked ATP: 187. Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 171.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Schwaerzler could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guerrieri won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Joel Schwaerzler - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 53.55%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Guerrieri
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Andrea Guerrieri - August Holmgren	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Soon Woo Kwon - Andrea Guerrieri	2:0 ✺
17.08.26	Alexander Donski - Andrea Guerrieri	1:2 ✺
09.08.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Andrea Guerrieri	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Daniil Glinka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWLW
- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Gustavo Heide	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Kenta Miyoshi	0:2 ✺
13.08.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Andres Andrade	1:2 ✺
09.08.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Andrea Guerrieri	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Mathys Erhard - Joel Schwaerzler	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.08.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Andrea Guerrieri	2:0

Andrea Guerrieri - Joel Schwaerzler: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide