Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Tolentino, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday


	Ekaterine Gorgodze		Arantxa Rus

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	2.5	1.55
	4.79	1.16	Watch
	2.73	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.37)	1.4 ↓ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ekaterine Gorgodze
31.4%

Arantxa Rus
68.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekaterine Gorgodze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ekaterine Gorgodze's form might have worsened.

Arantxa Rus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arantxa Rus's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekaterine Gorgodze than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arantxa Rus than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	0%	35.7%

Ekaterine Gorgodze - Arantxa Rus Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Gorgodze will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Rus will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gorgodze: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gorgodze (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Gorgodze (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Gorgodze (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gorgodze is ranked WTA: 248. Rus is ranked WTA: 136.

Gorgodze has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rus is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Rus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rus is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Rus will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gorgodze won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Arantxa Rus - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 60.77%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekaterine Gorgodze
ATP Challenger
18.09.25	Mayar Sherif - Ekaterine Gorgodze	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Ekaterine Gorgodze - Hanne Van De Winkel	2:1 ✺
09.09.25	Nuria Brancaccio - Ekaterine Gorgodze	2:1 ✺
WTA US Open
21.08.25	Francesca Jones - Ekaterine Gorgodze	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Heather Watson - Ekaterine Gorgodze	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWLLW
- Arantxa Rus
ATP Challenger
18.09.25	Tatiana Pieri - Arantxa Rus	1:2 ✺
16.09.25	Tara Wurth - Arantxa Rus	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	Tamara Korpatsch - Arantxa Rus	2:1 ✺
11.09.25	Aliona Bolsova Zadoinov - Arantxa Rus	1:2 ✺
09.09.25	Eva Vedder - Arantxa Rus	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.06.22	Ekaterine Gorgodze - Arantxa Rus	0:2
ITF Tournaments
17.09.21	Arantxa Rus - Ekaterine Gorgodze	1:2
WTA Wimbledon
26.06.19	Ekaterine Gorgodze - Arantxa Rus	0:2

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