Match Info

Date: 26 October 2022, Wednesday


	Arthur Fils		Evgeny Donskoy

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	2.05	1.7
	2.1	1.7
	2.01	1.69
	2.15	1.72
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.97	1.8	Watch
	1.97	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.65)	1.75 ↓ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fils
46.7%

Evgeny Donskoy
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arthur Fils's form might have worsened.

Evgeny Donskoy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Evgeny Donskoy's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arthur Fils, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Evgeny Donskoy than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Evgeny Donskoy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Arthur Fils - Evgeny Donskoy Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Fils will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Donskoy will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Donskoy: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Fils is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Donskoy is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Donskoy could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fils won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fils
ATP Challenger
24.10.22	Arthur Fils - Gianluca Mager	2:1 ✺
10.10.22	Arthur Fils - Maxime Chazal	1:2 ✺
03.10.22	Arthur Fils - Vitaliy Sachko	0:2 ✺
29.09.22	Arthur Fils - Norbert Gombos	0:2 ✺
27.09.22	Skander Mansouri - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLLW
- Evgeny Donskoy
ATP Challenger
25.10.22	Evgeny Donskoy - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
24.10.22	Martin Krumich - Evgeny Donskoy	0:2 ✺
23.10.22	Evgeny Donskoy - Oscar Jose Gutierrez	2:0 ✺
20.10.22	Julian Lenz - Evgeny Donskoy	2:1 ✺
18.10.22	Evgeny Donskoy - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.04.22	Evgeny Donskoy - Arthur Fils	2:0

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