Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo (Japan), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 September 2024, Friday


	Arthur Fils		Matteo Berrettini

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.29	1.61	Watch
	2.44	1.62
	2.43	1.59
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.29	1.63	Watch
	2.29	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.65)	1.61 ↑ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fils
40.8%

Matteo Berrettini
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

64.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

65.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Fils's performance.

Matteo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matteo Berrettini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Fils that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matteo Berrettini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Arthur Fils - Matteo Berrettini Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Berrettini will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fils is ranked ATP: 24. Berrettini is ranked ATP: 45.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Berrettini could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Berrettini will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fils won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fils
ATP Tokyo
26.09.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
14.09.24	Jiri Lehecka - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
29.08.24	Arthur Fils - Gabriel Diallo	1:3 ✺
27.08.24	Arthur Fils - Learner Tien	3:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.24	Brandon Nakashima - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLWL
- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Tokyo
24.09.24	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.24	Matteo Berrettini - Alexander Blockx	2:1
ATP US Open
28.08.24	Matteo Berrettini - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:3 ✺
26.08.24	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Matteo Berrettini	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.24	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Matteo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Paris
01.11.22	Arthur Fils - Matteo Berrettini	Canceled

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