Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday


	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard		Camilo Ugo Carabelli

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.52	2.55	Watch
	1.54	2.63
	1.51	2.48	Watch
	1.53	2.5
	1.61	2.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.3)	2.53 ↓ (3.11)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
62.2%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard's form might have worsened.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Camilo Ugo Carabelli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 23.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Mpetshi Perricard (1.59) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mpetshi Perricard (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mpetshi Perricard is ranked ATP: 59. Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 66.

In recent matches, Mpetshi Perricard has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ugo Carabelli is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ugo Carabelli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mpetshi Perricard is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mpetshi Perricard won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.26	Kamil Majchrzak - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:1 ✺
ATP Dubai
25.02.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Moez Echargui - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWWW
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.26	Brandon Nakashima - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Martin Damm	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
25.02.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
13.02.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
26.10.22	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Camilo Ugo Carabelli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide