Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Doha, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Sweden	TV4 Tennis
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Arthur Fils		Jakub Mensik

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
			Watch
	2.28	1.61	Watch
	2.35	1.67
	2.35	1.59	Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.38	1.61	Watch
	2.3	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.53)	1.63 ↑ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fils
41.3%

Jakub Mensik
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Jakub Mensik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.6%	0%	80.4%

Arthur Fils - Jakub Mensik Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Mensik (2.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -5.5 Games - Mensik (5.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 2nd Set - Mensik (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Mensik (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Games, 1st Set - Mensik (3.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Games, 2nd Set - Mensik (3.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Jakub Mensik will win (37 of 46 users predict this - 80.43%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.96% – 91.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jakub Mensik will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Fils (votes: 2 - 8.7%). Mensik (votes: 21 - 91.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fils is ranked ATP: 40. Mensik is ranked ATP: 16.

Fils has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mensik is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Fils may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mensik might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Mensik will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fils won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Jakub Mensik - the odds 1.54 are the expected chance of winning is 62.21%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fils
ATP Doha
19.02.26	Jiri Lehecka - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
18.02.26	Arthur Fils - Quentin Halys	2:0 ✺
16.02.26	Arthur Fils - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
10.02.26	Alex De Minaur - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
ATP Montpellier
06.02.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWLL
- Jakub Mensik
ATP Doha
19.02.26	Jakub Mensik - Jannik Sinner	2:1 ✺
18.02.26	Jakub Mensik - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
16.02.26	Jakub Mensik - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
26.01.26	Jakub Mensik - Novak Djokovic	Djokovic N. walkover ✺
24.01.26	Jakub Mensik - Ethan Quinn	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 WWW?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
27.03.25	Arthur Fils - Jakub Mensik	0:2
ATP Next Gen Finals
19.12.24	Arthur Fils - Jakub Mensik	3:0

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