Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 August 2026, Monday


	Jiri Lehecka		Arthur Fils

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.30	1.60
	2.25	1.6	Watch
	2.46	1.63
	2.33	1.6	Watch
	3.15	1.37
	2.32	1.63	Watch
	2.25	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.22)	1.58 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jiri Lehecka
39.5%

Arthur Fils
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jiri Lehecka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Arthur Fils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiri Lehecka than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jiri Lehecka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arthur Fils, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Jiri Lehecka - Arthur Fils Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Lehecka will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Fils will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lehecka: 76.1% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Lehecka (2.16) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Lehecka (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lehecka is ranked ATP: 14. Fils is ranked ATP: 21.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lehecka won 2.

In recent matches, Lehecka has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Fils is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Lehecka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fils could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Fils will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lehecka won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Arthur Fils - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 57.2%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiri Lehecka
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.26	Jiri Lehecka - Matteo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
ATP Montreal
08.08.26	Jiri Lehecka - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
06.08.26	Jiri Lehecka - Alexander Blockx	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Jiri Lehecka - Vit Kopriva	2:0 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
29.07.26	Jiri Lehecka - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWL
- Arthur Fils
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
11.08.26	Rafael Jodar - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Arthur Fils - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
06.08.26	Mariano Navone - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
05.08.26	Zachary Svajda - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
29.04.26	Arthur Fils - Jiri Lehecka	2:0
ATP Miami
27.03.26	Jiri Lehecka - Arthur Fils	2:0
ATP Dubai
24.02.26	Arthur Fils - Jiri Lehecka	Canceled
ATP Doha
19.02.26	Jiri Lehecka - Arthur Fils	0:2
ATP Toronto
01.08.25	Arthur Fils - Jiri Lehecka	1:2
Davis Cup World Group
14.09.24	Jiri Lehecka - Arthur Fils	1:2

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