Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: NEXT GEN FINALS - JEDDAH (WORLD), HARD (INDOOR)

Date: 28 November 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 2
Hungary	Eurosport 1
Italy	Eurosport 1
Netherlands	Eurosport 1
Norway	Eurosport 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 2
Turkey	Eurosport 1


	Arthur Fils		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	1.29	3.75	Watch
	1.28	3.5
	1.28	3.4	Watch
	1.3	3.65
	1.3	3.65
	1.29	3.6	Watch
	1.28	3.7	Watch
	1.28	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.36)	3.62 ↑ (3.2)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fils
73.8%

Luca Nardi
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Arthur Fils - Luca Nardi Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Fils will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Nardi will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Played with special rules.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Fils could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fils is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fils
ATP Paris
31.10.23	Daniel Altmaier - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
ATP Vienna
25.10.23	Daniil Medvedev - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
ATP Antwerp
22.10.23	Arthur Fils - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
21.10.23	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
20.10.23	Arthur Fils - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLLWW
- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
24.11.23	Michael Mmoh - Luca Nardi	2:1 ✺
22.11.23	Kalin Ivanovski - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
21.11.23	Yunseong Chung - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
17.11.23	Luca Nardi - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
17.11.23	Marc Polmans - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWLW

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