Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos (Greece), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 March 2025, Tuesday


	Arthur Gea		Dimitar Kuzmanov

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
			Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.46	2.76
	1.45	2.69	Watch
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.43	2.69	Watch
	1.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.57)	2.81 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Gea
66.6%

Dimitar Kuzmanov
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Gea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Gea's performance.

Dimitar Kuzmanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dimitar Kuzmanov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dimitar Kuzmanov than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Arthur Gea - Dimitar Kuzmanov Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gea will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Kuzmanov will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kuzmanov: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gea is ranked ATP: 290. Kuzmanov is ranked ATP: 362.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Gea will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Gea
ATP Marseille
12.02.25	Hugo Grenier - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
10.02.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
09.02.25	Arthur Gea - Henri Squire	Squire H. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
07.02.25	Valentin Royer - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
06.02.25	Arthur Gea - Oleg Prihodko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LW?LW
- Dimitar Kuzmanov
ATP Challenger
11.02.25	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Andrea Vavassori	1:2 ✺
10.02.25	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Faris Zakaryia	2:0 ✺
09.02.25	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Yusuf Qaed	2:0 ✺
03.02.25	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Giovanni Fonio	0:2 ✺
02.02.25	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Loann Massard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWLW

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