Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lille (France), hard (indoor) - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 February 2025, Friday


	Valentin Royer		Arthur Gea

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.95	1.91
			Watch
			Watch
	1.93	1.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.06)	1.86 ↑ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Royer
48.9%

Arthur Gea
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Royer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Arthur Gea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Valentin Royer - Arthur Gea Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Royer will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Gea will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Royer is ranked ATP: 208. Gea is ranked ATP: 322.

Recent matches Royer is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gea is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gea could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Royer won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Last Results with these Odds

Valentin Royer - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.21%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Royer
ATP Challenger
05.02.25	Mae Malige - Valentin Royer	1:2 ✺
04.02.25	Maks Kasnikowski - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
ATP Montpellier
26.01.25	Valentin Royer - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.01.25	Alexis Galarneau - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
23.01.25	Valentin Royer - Denis Yevseyev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLLW
- Arthur Gea
ATP Challenger
06.02.25	Arthur Gea - Oleg Prihodko	2:0 ✺
04.02.25	Arthur Gea - Tom Gentzsch	2:0 ✺
04.02.25	Arthur Gea - Maximilian Marterer	Canceled ✺
22.01.25	Arthur Gea - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.01.25	Mae Malige - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.09.24	Arthur Gea - Valentin Royer	1:2

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