Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Marseille (France) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Final

Date: 10 February 2025, Monday


	Yosuke Watanuki		Arthur Gea

	1	2
	1.57	2.3
	1.62	2.16
	1.61	2.36
	1.62	2.24	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.25	Watch
	1.59	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.55)	2.25 ↓ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yosuke Watanuki
58.3%

Arthur Gea
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yosuke Watanuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Arthur Gea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Yosuke Watanuki - Arthur Gea Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Watanuki will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Gea will win (votes: 8 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gea: 55.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Watanuki is ranked ATP: 340. Gea is ranked ATP: 322.

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Watanuki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yosuke Watanuki
ATP Marseille
09.02.25	Jozef Kovalik - Yosuke Watanuki	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
08.01.25	Blake Ellis - Yosuke Watanuki	2:0 ✺
07.01.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.01.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Martin Landaluce	Landaluce M. walkover ✺
31.12.24	Yosuke Watanuki - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLW?W
- Arthur Gea
ATP Marseille
09.02.25	Arthur Gea - Henri Squire	Squire H. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
07.02.25	Valentin Royer - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
06.02.25	Arthur Gea - Oleg Prihodko	2:0 ✺
04.02.25	Arthur Gea - Tom Gentzsch	2:0 ✺
04.02.25	Arthur Gea - Maximilian Marterer	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 ?LWW?

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