Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Menorca, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 April 2025, Thursday


	Vilius Gaubas		Arthur Gea

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.74	1.98	Watch
	1.77	2	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.76	1.97	Watch
	1.74	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.85)	1.95 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilius Gaubas
52.5%

Arthur Gea
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Arthur Gea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Vilius Gaubas - Arthur Gea Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gaubas is ranked ATP: 198. Gea is ranked ATP: 348.

Recent matches Gaubas is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gea is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gaubas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Vilius Gaubas - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50.18%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Arthur Gea - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.82%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
01.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
25.03.25	Marton Fucsovics - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
19.03.25	Carlos Taberner - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
28.02.25	Vilius Gaubas - Dino Prizmic	0:2 ✺
26.02.25	Vilius Gaubas - Mees Rottgering	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLLW
- Arthur Gea
ATP Challenger
02.04.25	Arthur Gea - Gerard Campana Lee	2:1 ✺
24.03.25	Timofey Skatov - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
23.03.25	Benjamin Hassan - Arthur Gea	Canceled
10.03.25	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
04.03.25	Arthur Gea - Dimitar Kuzmanov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WL?LL

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