Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Carnac, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 May 2026, Thursday


	Arthur Nagel		Mae Malige

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.49	2.67
	1.43	2.58	Watch
	1.44	2.5
	1.45	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.57)	2.58 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Nagel
64%

Mae Malige
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Nagel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Nagel's performance.

Mae Malige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mae Malige might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Nagel than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Nagel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mae Malige than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mae Malige could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arthur Nagel - Mae Malige Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nagel is ranked ATP: 434. Malige is ranked ATP: 546.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Nagel is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Mae Malige - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 41.76%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Nagel
ITF Tournaments
27.05.26	Arthur Nagel - Tristan Berard	2:0 ✺
25.05.26	Arthur Nagel - Leo Lagarrigue	2:0 ✺
20.05.26	Arthur Nagel - Sander Jong	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Arthur Nagel - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
08.05.26	Arthur Nagel - Michele Mecarelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLLW
- Mae Malige
ITF Tournaments
27.05.26	Daniel Antonio Nunez - Mae Malige	0:2 ✺
25.05.26	Pierre Delage - Mae Malige	0:2 ✺
19.05.26	Mae Malige - Luis Garcia Paez	0:2 ✺
07.05.26	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Mae Malige	2:0 ✺
06.05.26	Mae Malige - Jan Hrazdil	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLLW

Arthur Nagel - Mae Malige: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide