The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arthur Rinderknech 61%
Alexis Galarneau 39%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.6%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.6%
30.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arthur Rinderknech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Alexis Galarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Rinderknech than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arthur Rinderknech, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexis Galarneau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
73.9%
0%
26.1%
Arthur Rinderknech - Alexis Galarneau Predictions
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Rinderknech will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Galarneau will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Rinderknech: 54.1% – 91.3%.