Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Kitzbuhel, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 July 2025, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Urheilu 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Portugal	Sport TV2
Sweden	TV4 Tennis


	Arthur Rinderknech		Facundo Bagnis

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.7	Watch
	1.44	2.7	Watch
	1.51	2.71
	1.39	2.93	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.53)	2.76 ↑ (2.48)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Arthur Rinderknech
65.6%

Facundo Bagnis
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Rinderknech has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Facundo Bagnis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Rinderknech than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Rinderknech that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Bagnis than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Facundo Bagnis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Arthur Rinderknech - Facundo Bagnis Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Rinderknech will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Bagnis will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rinderknech: 31.2% – 83%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Bagnis (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Facundo Bagnis will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Rinderknech (votes: 1 - 20%). Bagnis (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Rinderknech is ranked ATP: 64. Bagnis is ranked ATP: 848.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Bagnis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rinderknech could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rinderknech won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Rinderknech
ATP Gstaad
15.07.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Arthur Rinderknech	3:0 ✺
03.07.25	Christian Garin - Arthur Rinderknech	2:3 ✺
01.07.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Alexander Zverev	3:2 ✺
ATP Mallorca
24.06.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 LLWWL
- Facundo Bagnis
ATP Kitzbuhel
20.07.25	Thiago Monteiro - Facundo Bagnis	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Facundo Bagnis - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
ATP Gstaad
13.07.25	Calvin Hemery - Facundo Bagnis	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Facundo Bagnis - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Facundo Bagnis - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Gstaad
18.07.23	Arthur Rinderknech - Facundo Bagnis	1:2

Arthur Rinderknech - Facundo Bagnis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide