Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Kitzbuhel, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 25 July 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport 3
Portugal	Sport TV2
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis


	Arthur Cazaux		Arthur Rinderknech

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.65	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.29	Watch
	1.65	2.38
	1.65	2.27	Watch
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.64	2.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.91)	2.29 ↑ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Cazaux
58.2%

Arthur Rinderknech
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Cazaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Cazaux's performance.

Arthur Rinderknech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arthur Rinderknech might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Cazaux than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Rinderknech than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Arthur Cazaux - Arthur Rinderknech Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Cazaux will win (votes: 24 - 75%). Rinderknech will win (votes: 8 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cazaux: 60% – 90%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arthur Cazaux will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cazaux is ranked ATP: 100. Rinderknech is ranked ATP: 65.

Cazaux is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rinderknech has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cazaux may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cazaux won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Cazaux
ATP Kitzbuhel
24.07.25	Arthur Cazaux - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Francisco Comesana - Arthur Cazaux	0:2 ✺
22.07.25	Arthur Cazaux - Ignacio Buse	2:1 ✺
ATP Gstaad
19.07.25	Arthur Cazaux - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
18.07.25	Jerome Kym - Arthur Cazaux	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWLW
- Arthur Rinderknech
ATP Kitzbuhel
24.07.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Yannick Hanfmann	2:1 ✺
23.07.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Norbert Gombos	2:1 ✺
21.07.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Facundo Bagnis	2:1 ✺
ATP Gstaad
15.07.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Arthur Rinderknech	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
15.05.23	Arthur Cazaux - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0

Arthur Cazaux - Arthur Rinderknech: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide