Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Dubai, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3
Sweden	TV4 Play
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Arthur Rinderknech		Jack Draper

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.5	1.27	Watch
	3.98	1.29
	3.72	1.29	Watch
	3.5	1.3
	3.74	1.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↑ (2.92)	1.29 ↓ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Rinderknech
26.1%

Jack Draper
73.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Rinderknech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arthur Rinderknech's form might have worsened.

Jack Draper has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jack Draper's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Rinderknech than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arthur Rinderknech, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jack Draper, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Arthur Rinderknech - Jack Draper Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Draper (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Draper (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Jack Draper will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Draper (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rinderknech is ranked ATP: 31. Draper is ranked ATP: 15.

Rinderknech has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Draper is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Rinderknech may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Draper is the team to beat.

We predict that Draper will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rinderknech won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Rinderknech
ATP Dubai
24.02.26	Fabian Marozsan - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2 ✺
ATP Doha
17.02.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
11.02.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
08.02.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Alex Molcan	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Norbert Gombos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLWW
- Jack Draper
ATP Dubai
23.02.26	Quentin Halys - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
06.02.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Jack Draper	Canceled ✺
05.02.26	Viktor Durasovic - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
28.12.25	Jack Draper - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Canceled ✺
27.12.25	Jack Draper - Jakub Mensik	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 W?W??

Latest Head to Head

ATP Paris
01.11.22	Arthur Rinderknech - Jack Draper	0:2

Arthur Rinderknech - Jack Draper: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide