Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Dubai, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday


	Fabian Marozsan		Arthur Rinderknech

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.65	2.2
	1.53	2.46	Watch
	1.59	2.30	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.56	2.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.8)	2.38 ↑ (1.92)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabian Marozsan
60.2%

Arthur Rinderknech
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabian Marozsan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fabian Marozsan's performance.

Arthur Rinderknech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arthur Rinderknech might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fabian Marozsan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Rinderknech than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arthur Rinderknech could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Fabian Marozsan - Arthur Rinderknech Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Marozsan will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Rinderknech will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Marozsan (votes: 1 - 50%). Rinderknech (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Marozsan (2.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Marozsan (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Rinderknech (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Marozsan is ranked ATP: 48. Rinderknech is ranked ATP: 30.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Marozsan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Marozsan won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Fabian Marozsan - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.62%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabian Marozsan
ATP Doha
18.02.26	Fabian Marozsan - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Ugo Humbert - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
10.02.26	Zizou Bergs - Fabian Marozsan	Canceled ✺
Davis Cup World Group
08.02.26	Fabian Marozsan - Tommy Paul	Canceled ✺
07.02.26	Fabian Marozsan - Ethan Quinn	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LW??L
- Arthur Rinderknech
ATP Doha
17.02.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
11.02.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
08.02.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Alex Molcan	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Norbert Gombos	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Fabian Marozsan - Arthur Rinderknech	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Fabian Marozsan - Arthur Rinderknech	3:1
ATP Paris
27.10.25	Fabian Marozsan - Arthur Rinderknech	0:2
ATP Shanghai
04.10.23	Arthur Rinderknech - Fabian Marozsan	0:2

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