Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mallorca, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday


	Jay Dylan Hara Friend		Valentin Vacherot

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.7	1.24	Watch
	3.75	1.23	Watch
	4.09	1.25
	3.69	1.26	Watch
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.7	1.25	Watch
	2.9	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (2.9)	1.27 ↓ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jay Dylan Hara Friend
26.1%

Valentin Vacherot
73.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

75.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jay Dylan Hara Friend has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jay Dylan Hara Friend's form might have worsened.

Valentin Vacherot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valentin Vacherot's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jay Dylan Hara Friend than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Valentin Vacherot Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hara Friend is ranked ATP: 874. Vacherot is ranked ATP: 216.

Recent performances by Hara Friend have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vacherot is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Hara Friend may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Vacherot is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jay Dylan Hara Friend
ATP Challenger
26.08.25	Federico Cina - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	0:2 ✺
18.08.25	Moez Echargui - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	2:1 ✺
29.07.25	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.07.25	Ivan Gakhov - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	2:1 ✺
11.07.25	Niels Visker - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLLLW
- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Challenger
27.08.25	Valentin Vacherot - Martin Landaluce	2:0 ✺
15.08.25	Timofey Skatov - Valentin Vacherot	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
13.08.25	Francesco Forti - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Maxim Mrva - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWWW

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