Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mallorca, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday


	Edas Butvilas		Jay Dylan Hara Friend

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.65	Watch
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.5	2.7
	1.38	2.93	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.37	2.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.53)	2.74 ↑ (2.27)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edas Butvilas
65.8%

Jay Dylan Hara Friend
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edas Butvilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Edas Butvilas's performance.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jay Dylan Hara Friend might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edas Butvilas than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jay Dylan Hara Friend than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Edas Butvilas - Jay Dylan Hara Friend Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Butvilas (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Edas Butvilas will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Butvilas is ranked ATP: 249. Hara Friend is ranked ATP: 874.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Butvilas could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Edas Butvilas - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 59.74%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edas Butvilas
ATP Challenger
28.08.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Edas Butvilas	0:2 ✺
27.08.25	Edas Butvilas - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
18.08.25	Matteo Gigante - Edas Butvilas	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.08.25	Moez Echargui - Edas Butvilas	2:1 ✺
31.07.25	Edas Butvilas - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLLW
- Jay Dylan Hara Friend
ATP Challenger
28.08.25	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Valentin Vacherot	2:1 ✺
26.08.25	Federico Cina - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	0:2 ✺
18.08.25	Moez Echargui - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	2:1 ✺
29.07.25	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.07.25	Ivan Gakhov - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWLLL

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