Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: French Open, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 June 2026, Wednesday

Location: Court Philippe-Chatrier (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	HBO Max


	Aryna Sabalenka		Diana Shnaider

	1	2
	1.1	7	Watch
	1.09	6.96
	1.12	8.17
	1.12	6.14	Watch
	1.11	6.5
	1.12	7.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.11 ↓ (1.13)	7.07 ↑ (5.87)

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aryna Sabalenka
86.4%

Diana Shnaider
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

83.9%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aryna Sabalenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Diana Shnaider has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	0%	23.5%

Aryna Sabalenka - Diana Shnaider Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Shnaider will win (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sabalenka: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Sabalenka (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - under (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabalenka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Shnaider is ranked WTA: 23.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

In this match, Sabalenka is the clear favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aryna Sabalenka
WTA Roland Garros
01.06.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Naomi Osaka	2:0 ✺
30.05.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Darya Kasatkina	2:0 ✺
28.05.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Elsa Jacquemot	2:0 ✺
26.05.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	2:0 ✺
WTA Roma
09.05.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Sorana Cirstea	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWWWL
- Diana Shnaider
WTA Roland Garros
01.06.26	Madison Keys - Diana Shnaider	1:2 ✺
30.05.26	Diana Shnaider - Oleksandra Oliynykova	2:0 ✺
28.05.26	Diana Shnaider - McCartney Kessler	2:0 ✺
25.05.26	Diana Shnaider - Renata Zarazua	2:0 ✺
WTA Roma
10.05.26	Naomi Osaka - Diana Shnaider	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWL

Aryna Sabalenka - Diana Shnaider: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide