Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 June 2026, Monday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Madison Keys		Diana Shnaider

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.19
	1.69	2.37
	1.69	2.22	Watch
	1.67	2.2
	1.7	2.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.51)	2.25 ↓ (2.52)

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madison Keys
57.2%

Diana Shnaider
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madison Keys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Madison Keys's form might have worsened.

Diana Shnaider has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Diana Shnaider's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madison Keys than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Madison Keys, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diana Shnaider than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Diana Shnaider, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
48%	0%	52%

Madison Keys - Diana Shnaider Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Keys will win (votes: 12 - 50%). Shnaider will win (votes: 12 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Keys: 30% – 70%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Keys (1.26) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Keys (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Keys is ranked WTA: 19. Shnaider is ranked WTA: 23.

Keys has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Shnaider is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Shnaider may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Keys might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Keys will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Keys won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madison Keys
WTA Roland Garros
30.05.26	Victoria Mboko - Madison Keys	1:2 ✺
28.05.26	Antonia Ruzic - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
26.05.26	Hanne Van De Winkel - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
WTA Strasbourg
19.05.26	Madison Keys - Cristina Bucsa	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
17.05.26	Madison Keys - Diane Parry	Keys M. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWW??
- Diana Shnaider
WTA Roland Garros
30.05.26	Diana Shnaider - Oleksandra Oliynykova	2:0 ✺
28.05.26	Diana Shnaider - McCartney Kessler	2:0 ✺
25.05.26	Diana Shnaider - Renata Zarazua	2:0 ✺
WTA Roma
10.05.26	Naomi Osaka - Diana Shnaider	2:0 ✺
08.05.26	Talia Gibson - Diana Shnaider	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Brisbane
08.01.26	Diana Shnaider - Madison Keys	1:2
WTA London
13.06.25	Diana Shnaider - Madison Keys	1:2
WTA Miami
21.03.24	Diana Shnaider - Madison Keys	0:2

Madison Keys - Diana Shnaider: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide