Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Naomi Osaka		Diana Shnaider

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.98	1.83	Watch
	2.03	1.87
	1.95	1.84	Watch
	1.95	1.85
	1.97	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.67)	1.84 ↓ (2.18)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naomi Osaka
48.2%

Diana Shnaider
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naomi Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Naomi Osaka's form might have worsened.

Diana Shnaider has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Diana Shnaider's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naomi Osaka than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Naomi Osaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diana Shnaider than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Diana Shnaider, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Naomi Osaka - Diana Shnaider Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Osaka will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Shnaider will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osaka: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Naomi Osaka will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Osaka is ranked WTA: 16. Shnaider is ranked WTA: 20.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Shnaider may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Naomi Osaka - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 56.62%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Diana Shnaider - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 43.38%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naomi Osaka
WTA Roma
08.05.26	Naomi Osaka - Eva Lys	2:1 ✺
WTA Madrid
27.04.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Naomi Osaka	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Anhelina Kalinina - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
23.04.26	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
WTA Miami
21.03.26	Talia Gibson - Naomi Osaka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWL
- Diana Shnaider
WTA Roma
08.05.26	Talia Gibson - Diana Shnaider	1:2 ✺
WTA Madrid
25.04.26	Belinda Bencic - Diana Shnaider	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Diana Shnaider	1:2 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
16.04.26	Elena Rybakina - Diana Shnaider	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Tamara Korpatsch - Diana Shnaider	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLW

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