Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Dubai, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday


	Tallon Griekspoor		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	3.15	1.35
	3.35	1.38
	3.24	1.36	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3.25	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.8)	1.35 ↓ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallon Griekspoor
29.6%

Alexander Bublik
70.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallon Griekspoor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallon Griekspoor than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tallon Griekspoor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexander Bublik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

Tallon Griekspoor - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Griekspoor will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Bublik will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bublik: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Griekspoor (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 10.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -1.5 Sets - Bublik (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3 Games - Bublik (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Griekspoor (votes: 2 - 50%). Bublik (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Griekspoor is ranked ATP: 25. Bublik is ranked ATP: 10.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Bublik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bublik might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Griekspoor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.3:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Tallon Griekspoor - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 33.81%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Alexander Bublik - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 66.19%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallon Griekspoor
ATP Dubai
24.02.26	Otto Virtanen - Tallon Griekspoor	0:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
13.02.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Quentin Halys	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0 ✺
ATP Montpellier
06.02.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Titouan Droguet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWWL
- Alexander Bublik
ATP Dubai
24.02.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
ATP Doha
17.02.26	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Alexander Bublik	Canceled ✺
ATP Rotterdam
14.02.26	Alexander Bublik - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
13.02.26	Jaume Munar - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
12.02.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 W?LWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Dubai
28.02.24	Alexander Bublik - Tallon Griekspoor	2:0
ATP Astana
04.10.22	Tallon Griekspoor - Alexander Bublik	1:2
ATP Montpellier
31.01.22	Alexander Bublik - Tallon Griekspoor	2:0
Davis Cup World Group
06.03.20	Alexander Bublik - Tallon Griekspoor	2:0

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