The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Astra Sharma 28.6%
Darya Kasatkina 71.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.8%
60.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.5%
62.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Astra Sharma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Astra Sharma's form might have worsened.
Darya Kasatkina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Darya Kasatkina's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astra Sharma than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Astra Sharma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Darya Kasatkina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15.4%
0%
84.6%
Astra Sharma - Darya Kasatkina Predictions
Users Predictions:
Darya Kasatkina will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%). Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.
Sharma could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Watch
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