Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday


	August Holmgren		Chris Rodesch

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.8	1.39	Watch
	2.83	1.38	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.81	1.38	Watch
	2.71	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.1)	1.39 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

August Holmgren
33.4%

Chris Rodesch
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

August Holmgren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that August Holmgren's form might have worsened.

Chris Rodesch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chris Rodesch's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

August Holmgren - Chris Rodesch Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Holmgren will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Rodesch will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Holmgren (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Holmgren (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Holmgren is ranked ATP: 191. Rodesch is ranked ATP: 208.

Rodesch's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rodesch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rodesch might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Holmgren won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

August Holmgren - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.28%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Chris Rodesch - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.72%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- August Holmgren
ATP Australian Open
11.01.26	August Holmgren - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.10.25	Giulio Zeppieri - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
20.10.25	Kimmer Coppejans - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
ATP Almaty
11.10.25	August Holmgren - Titouan Droguet	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.10.25	Pavel Kotov - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLL
- Chris Rodesch
ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	Chris Rodesch - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
12.01.26	Billy Harris - Chris Rodesch	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.01.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Chris Rodesch	2:0 ✺
05.01.26	Chris Rodesch - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
05.01.26	Martin Damm - Chris Rodesch	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
30.07.22	Chris Rodesch - August Holmgren	2:0

August Holmgren - Chris Rodesch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide