Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday


	August Holmgren		Chun Hsin Tseng

	1	2
			Watch
	2.07	1.68	Watch
	2.04	1.8
	3.02	1.39	Watch
			Watch
	2.04	1.71	Watch
	1.78	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.74)	1.72 ↓ (1.93)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

August Holmgren
43.9%

Chun Hsin Tseng
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

August Holmgren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that August Holmgren's form might have worsened.

Chun Hsin Tseng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chun Hsin Tseng's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for August Holmgren, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chun Hsin Tseng than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chun Hsin Tseng, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

August Holmgren - Chun Hsin Tseng Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Holmgren will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Tseng will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tseng (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Holmgren is ranked ATP: 176. Tseng is ranked ATP: 122.

Holmgren is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tseng has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tseng may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

August Holmgren - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 52.59%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- August Holmgren
ATP Challenger
24.09.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	August Holmgren - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.25	August Holmgren - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.08.25	August Holmgren - Yu Hsiou Hsu	1:2 ✺
08.08.25	August Holmgren - Giles Hussey	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW
- Chun Hsin Tseng
ATP Challenger
26.09.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2 ✺
23.09.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Tung-Lin Wu	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
16.09.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
14.09.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Viktor Durasovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLLW

August Holmgren - Chun Hsin Tseng: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide