Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	August Holmgren		Zachary Svajda

	1	2
	2.5	1.5
	2.75	1.42
	2.54	1.49
	2.54	1.53
	2.39	1.59	Watch
	2.75	1.4
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (3.01)	1.49 ↑ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

August Holmgren
36.6%

Zachary Svajda
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

69.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

August Holmgren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in August Holmgren's performance.

Zachary Svajda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zachary Svajda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with August Holmgren that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zachary Svajda than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zachary Svajda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

August Holmgren - Zachary Svajda Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Holmgren will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Svajda will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): August Holmgren will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Holmgren is ranked ATP: 173. Svajda is ranked ATP: 143.

Recent performances by Holmgren have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Svajda is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Holmgren may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Svajda could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Svajda will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Holmgren won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- August Holmgren
ATP Challenger
09.08.25	August Holmgren - Yu Hsiou Hsu	1:2 ✺
08.08.25	August Holmgren - Giles Hussey	2:0 ✺
07.08.25	August Holmgren - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	August Holmgren - Darian King	2:0 ✺
28.07.25	Nicolas Mejia - August Holmgren	Holmgren A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWW?
- Zachary Svajda
ATP Cincinnati
05.08.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Zachary Svajda	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
03.08.25	Zachary Svajda - Bernard Tomic	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Zachary Svajda - Yu Hsiou Hsu	2:0 ✺
01.08.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Zachary Svajda	1:2 ✺
30.07.25	Ryuki Matsuda - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 ?WWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.10.22	Zachary Svajda - August Holmgren	1:2
04.10.22	August Holmgren - Zachary Svajda	1:2

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