Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jingshan, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday


	Nikoloz Basilashvili		August Holmgren

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
			Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.5	2.66
	1.38	2.76	Watch
	1.45	2.63	Watch
	1.55	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.57)	2.64 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nikoloz Basilashvili
64.6%

August Holmgren
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikoloz Basilashvili has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nikoloz Basilashvili's performance.

August Holmgren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and August Holmgren might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Nikoloz Basilashvili - August Holmgren Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Basilashvili (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Nikoloz Basilashvili will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 114. Holmgren is ranked ATP: 176.

Basilashvili is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Holmgren has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Holmgren may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Basilashvili might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Basilashvili won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

August Holmgren - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.1%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Chengdu
21.09.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Sebastian Baez	Canceled ✺
18.09.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Bernard Tomic - Nikoloz Basilashvili	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LW?WW
- August Holmgren
ATP Challenger
01.09.25	August Holmgren - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.25	August Holmgren - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.08.25	August Holmgren - Yu Hsiou Hsu	1:2 ✺
08.08.25	August Holmgren - Giles Hussey	2:0 ✺
07.08.25	August Holmgren - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.06.24	August Holmgren - Nikoloz Basilashvili	Canceled

Nikoloz Basilashvili - August Holmgren: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide