Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	August Holmgren		Facundo Diaz Acosta

	1	2
	3.4	1.3
	3	1.34
	3.69	1.33
	3.28	1.32	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.44	1.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (3.09)	1.32 ↓ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

August Holmgren
28.3%

Facundo Diaz Acosta
71.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.2%

69.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

August Holmgren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Facundo Diaz Acosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

August Holmgren - Facundo Diaz Acosta Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Diaz Acosta (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Facundo Diaz Acosta will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Diaz Acosta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Holmgren is ranked ATP: 155. Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 150.

Recent performances by Holmgren have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Diaz Acosta is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Holmgren may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Diaz Acosta is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Diaz Acosta will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Holmgren won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Facundo Diaz Acosta - the odds 1.34 are the expected chance of winning is 69.75%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- August Holmgren
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.26	August Holmgren - Daniel Jade	2:0 ✺
18.05.26	Otto Virtanen - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.05.26	Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou - August Holmgren	2:1 ✺
13.05.26	Matej Dodig - August Holmgren	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Gustavo Heide - August Holmgren	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLWL
- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Remy Bertola	2:0 ✺
18.05.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Christopher OConnell	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.05.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
10.05.26	Gustavo Heide - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Ryan Seggerman - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWW

August Holmgren - Facundo Diaz Acosta