Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Otto Virtanen		August Holmgren

	1	2
	1.5	2.5
	1.48	2.48
	1.5	2.66
	1.49	2.56	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.5	2.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.59)	2.54 ↑ (2.27)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Otto Virtanen
62.9%

August Holmgren
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Otto Virtanen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

August Holmgren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Otto Virtanen than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Otto Virtanen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that August Holmgren could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Otto Virtanen - August Holmgren Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Virtanen is ranked ATP: 127. Holmgren is ranked ATP: 167.

Virtanen is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Holmgren's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Virtanen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Virtanen will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Virtanen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

August Holmgren - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 41.19%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Otto Virtanen
ATP Challenger
13.05.26	Otto Virtanen - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1:2 ✺
ATP Roma
04.05.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Otto Virtanen	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
20.04.26	Otto Virtanen - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
14.04.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Otto Virtanen - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW
- August Holmgren
ATP Challenger
14.05.26	Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou - August Holmgren	2:1 ✺
13.05.26	Matej Dodig - August Holmgren	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Gustavo Heide - August Holmgren	2:1 ✺
08.05.26	August Holmgren - Max Schoenhaus	2:1 ✺
06.05.26	August Holmgren - Guy Den Ouden	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
07.04.25	August Holmgren - Otto Virtanen	2:1

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