Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Francavilla, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday


	August Holmgren		Max Schoenhaus

	1	2
			Watch
	1.64	2.13	Watch
	1.7	2.29
	1.58	2.22	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.63	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (2.02)	2.2 ↑ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

August Holmgren
57.4%

Max Schoenhaus
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

August Holmgren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in August Holmgren's performance.

Max Schoenhaus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Max Schoenhaus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with August Holmgren that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Schoenhaus than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Max Schoenhaus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

August Holmgren - Max Schoenhaus Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Holmgren will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Schoenhaus will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Holmgren is ranked ATP: 167. Schoenhaus is ranked ATP: 472.

Holmgren is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Schoenhaus has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Holmgren may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

August Holmgren - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.85%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- August Holmgren
ATP Challenger
06.05.26	August Holmgren - Guy Den Ouden	2:0 ✺
05.05.26	Alex Barrena - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	August Holmgren - Soon Woo Kwon	0:2 ✺
24.04.26	August Holmgren - Leandro Riedi	Riedi L. Retired ✺
23.04.26	Yuta Shimizu - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWL?W
- Max Schoenhaus
ATP Challenger
06.05.26	Max Schoenhaus - Zdenek Kolar	2:0 ✺
05.05.26	Daniele Rapagnetta - Max Schoenhaus	0:2 ✺
27.04.26	Max Schoenhaus - Jay Clarke	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.04.26	Max Schoenhaus - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Max Schoenhaus - Florent Bax	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLLL

August Holmgren - Max Schoenhaus: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide