Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 5 August 2025, Tuesday


	Chun Hsin Tseng		Zachary Svajda

	1	2
			Watch
	3.7	1.23
	4	1.25
	3.63	1.26	Watch
	1.9	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (1.9)	1.41 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chun Hsin Tseng
29.9%

Zachary Svajda
70.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chun Hsin Tseng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chun Hsin Tseng's form might have worsened.

Zachary Svajda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zachary Svajda's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chun Hsin Tseng than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chun Hsin Tseng, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zachary Svajda than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zachary Svajda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Tseng is ranked ATP: 107. Svajda is ranked ATP: 148.

Tseng has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Svajda is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Tseng may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Svajda will win today's game, with odds of 1.9.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Zachary Svajda - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chun Hsin Tseng
ATP Toronto
28.07.25	Christopher OConnell - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Ugo Blanchet	0:2 ✺
ATP Umag
23.07.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
21.07.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Giulio Zeppieri	2:0 ✺
ATP Bastad
15.07.25	Hugo Gaston - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWL
- Zachary Svajda
ATP Challenger
03.08.25	Zachary Svajda - Bernard Tomic	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Zachary Svajda - Yu Hsiou Hsu	2:0 ✺
01.08.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Zachary Svajda	1:2 ✺
30.07.25	Ryuki Matsuda - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Alex Rybakov - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWW

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