Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Nantes, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 March 2026, Monday


	Ayla Aksu		Manon Leonard

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.4	Watch
	1.46	2.75
	1.41	2.25	Watch
	1.5	2.38
	1.45	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.49)	2.47 ↑ (2.43)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ayla Aksu
62.8%

Manon Leonard
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayla Aksu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Manon Leonard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayla Aksu than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manon Leonard than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Ayla Aksu - Manon Leonard Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Aksu is ranked WTA: 269. Leonard is ranked WTA: 272.

Aksu has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Leonard is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Aksu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aksu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayla Aksu
ITF Tournaments
24.03.26	Julia Avdeeva - Ayla Aksu	0:2 ✺
WTA Miami
16.03.26	Ayla Aksu - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.02.26	Harriet Dart - Ayla Aksu	Aksu A. retired ✺
27.02.26	Ayla Aksu - Aliona Falei	2:0 ✺
26.02.26	Kajsa Rinaldo Persson - Ayla Aksu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WL?WW
- Manon Leonard
ITF Tournaments
24.03.26	Francesca Curmi - Manon Leonard	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Matilde Jorge - Manon Leonard	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Manon Leonard - Sofya Lansere	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.02.26	Andrea Lazaro Garcia - Manon Leonard	2:1 ✺
17.02.26	Manon Leonard - Raluca Georgiana Serban	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
31.01.25	Manon Leonard - Ayla Aksu	2:0

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